I think you are spot on with the non-rev game mentality. Sometimes you get lucky and make it on a sold out flight or sometime don't get on a wide open flight and get stuck in El Paso overnight because of a Houston thunderstorm (still annoyed about that one haha). Either way having plans A-Q will always help you get home and it's the same during this crisis.Worst: Major airlines declare bankruptcy and liquidate, new entrants emerge "airline deregulation act" style and offer much less lucrative careers.
Best: Temporary reductions in pay and/or force are put in place after October, everyone is recalled and pay restored in anticipation of back to normal travel in summer 2021.
I won't even speculate as to what the most probable is except somewhere between the two. Way too many variables and not enough information to make an educated guess. As the industry stands at this moment, we're closer to worst case territory.
For anyone facing uncertainty in October I'd say it never hurts to prepare for the worst and hope for the best. We're all used to playing the non rev game and having plan A, B, C, D, etc. Sometimes you make it on the direct flight against all odds, sometimes you have to make some unexpected stops before getting back home. Same idea here. Some of us will stick around by the skin of our teeth, some will do some odd jobs before getting back to the career we love. It will all work out in end, just try not to sweat what you can't control and do have a plan for any scenario.
I would love to find a second career that quickly but I’m not sure how possible that will be during the Great Depression 2.0. I think everyone recalled will go back.I can easily see majors having to hire in next 2-3 years simply to replace those who were furloughed, who choose not to come back. Obviously a good number will return, however I think there will be those furloughed who make the switch back to a 9-5, weekends/holidays off kind of job and decide it's not worth it to come back.
I think most would come back. However, there are probies right now could potentially be let go permanently. That is something to watch for at all the majors and LCCs that hired late last year into early this year. I think most majors and LCCs will come to agreements with the unions for allowing re-call rights but if negotiations stall or there are bad eggs that management/union want gone, there might be some probies that dont come back.I would love to find a second career that quickly but I’m not sure how possible that will be during the Great Depression 2.0. I think everyone recalled will go back.
Get some IT certificates! Comptia A+/ Network+ and you got yourself into IT! Its my backup at the momentI’ve pretty much accepted the fact that my dispatch career is over even though I have 3 years experience. No way I’m picking up and moving for yet another entry level job only to know that it’ll be highly unlikely that an opportunity for the majors will ever come. If it does, it’ll be 10 times as competitive than it was pre-Covid. Time to learn a trade a get my hands dirty again