The 1,500 hour rule works, but not in the way that a layman or the uninitiated would think.
What happened? We lost this idea of quality time. It wouldn’t take much to improve on the current rule.
Toss out SIC time, it’s a confusing mess of hours of inconsistent significance.
For a CFI that builds his time in light singles, 1500 sounds like a good PIC number.
Add a 2x multiplier for turbine or multi-engine and we’ve revisited the idea of quality time. I’d like to have a multiplier for IFR ops but that gets messy as you can rack up IFR hours in VFR conditions.
I’m not sure of what the best formula is, but clearly not all hours are created equal.
I think that I was at my best after 400 hours PIC in King Airs. Parts of my game have improved but overall I’m not sure.
Bottom line, the 1500 rule is a dull knife solution. As we see more 172 ATP’s over time, I’m not sure that Sully’s vision will be realized.