![]() | |
| | #1 | |
| Agent Smith | Quote:
__________________ Doug Taylor PPL-SEL PA-38 Typed | |
| |
| | #2 |
| Old Skool Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 3,040
|
Looks like AMR is putting finances ahead of job preservation if this goes through. If I were in the bottom 200 there and knew the remaining workforce was going to get increased hours out of it I would probably be a little disappointed, though it will save AA more money instead of reducing the average line value and holding onto people. There will be pilots there who have been furloughed or on reserve for more than a decade.
__________________ Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress in this period in history. |
| |
| | #3 | |
| Agent Smith | Quote:
Grrrrr...
__________________ Doug Taylor PPL-SEL PA-38 Typed | |
| |
| | #4 | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: KEWR (by way of Brooklyn, NY)
Posts: 1,142
| Quote:
__________________ God did not create aircraft pilots to be on the ground. | |
| |
| | #5 |
| Old Skool |
Coulda been worse.
|
| |
| | #6 |
| Old Skool Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Memphis
Posts: 3,628
|
Phht. Battle of Jutland, Vice-Admiral Sir David Beatty’s famous words, "Chatfield, there seems to be something wrong with our bloody ships today.", comes to mind.
__________________ I'm fine with pilots being allowed naps in cockpits, as long as we get to wear pajamas. End 16 hour duty days. |
| |
| | #7 |
| Old Skool |
Would the 200 flow down to Eagle?
__________________ According to a report by Goldman Sachs economists, "the most important contributor to higher profit margins over the past five years has been a decline in labor's share of national income." |
| |
| | #8 |
| Junior Member Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: Monrovia and Escondido, California
Posts: 163
|
It's ugly.
|
| |
| | #9 |
| Old Skool |
I think the flowthrough/back agreement was killed a while back when AMR decided it wanted to divest AE.
__________________ "I'm The Doctor, by the way. Run for your life!" |
| |
| | #10 |
| Old Skool Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: ATL
Posts: 6,048
|
Hold up, Dough. I'm pretty sure that aloft said in another thread that you aren't qualified to comment on AMR issues. |
| |
| | #11 |
| Old Skool Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: ATL
Posts: 6,048
| Seems to be that way. Thankfully, the new APA President, Captain Hill, is extremely militant and unlikely to cave to such pressures. If anything, AMR has just poked a lion in the eye.
|
| |
| | #12 |
| Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2005 Location: Dubai, UAE
Posts: 480
|
Talking to my brother today ( retired AA ) I would guess that AA will enter bankruptcy by the second quarter of next year, if not earlier. They really need to lose all 300 remaining MD-80s and get rid of their inefficient regional jets ( under 50 seats ). That would entail way more than 200 furloughs. I would be worried if I was in the bottom 3000 at AA. The way I see it AA will be unable to compete with the MD-80s and the small RJs. They need newer, more efficient, narrowbodies and bigger RJs. They do have some 737-800s coming, but not enough and not fast enough. To my knowledge they have no big RJs in the pipeline. That is a huge mistake and will cost them dearly. The U.S. domestic flying market is going to become one of mostly large RJs with mainline narrowbodies fitting into the larger markets. If one is with a large RJ operator then they should be okay. If one works for a small RJ operator with no orders for the larger RJs they should be very worried. If one is in the bottom third of a major airline seniority list they should be very worried. People don't want to hear this, but it's best to be prepared for it because it's coming. Over 6 months ago I predicted on this forum that the Expressjet branded flying would disappear in the near future and nobody wanted to hear that either. In regards to Eagle flowbacks, I sat next to an Eagle Captain ( roughly 11 years seniority ) on the way to DFW a few weeks ago. He said the flowback deal is finished so it isn't going to happen again. He also said some of the flowbacks declined recall. I can't remember exactly how it works, but I think they then go to where their Eagle seniority will hold, which is right seat of the ERJ. Seemed odd to me, but apparently these guys were betting exactly correct. Even a right seat job on the ERJ is better than no job when they get furloughed from AA again. With roughly 7 years seniority they are pretty senior First Officers and have a chance to upgrade in a few years ( depending how Eagle gets restructured in the bankruptcy that's coming ). Typhoonpilot |
| |
| | #13 |
| Old Skool Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: ATL
Posts: 6,048
|
I think that's a little overly pessimistic, and that's saying a lot, since I'm pretty pessimistic lately. DAL managed to re-negotiate their -88 leases down to $80k/mo. That's barely more than a 50-seat RJ lease. AMR could probably do better if they enter bankruptcy now. I can see them getting rid of maybe a third of their -80s, but not anywhere close to all of them. An -80 is a much better platform for most markets than a 70-seat RJ if you can get the lease costs down.
|
| |
| | #14 | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: KEWR (by way of Brooklyn, NY)
Posts: 1,142
| Quote:
__________________ God did not create aircraft pilots to be on the ground. | |
| |
| | #15 |
| Old Skool Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: ATL
Posts: 6,048
|
It's cheaper to renegotiate the leases on the Mad Dogs than it is to get a brand new lease on a -190, not to mention the problems in procuring that many EMBs.
|
| |
| | #16 |
| Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: KEWR (by way of Brooklyn, NY)
Posts: 1,142
| True, but I seriously doubt AA would go the way of NWA and hold on to the Mad dogs that long like the latter did with the Diesels. Everything is about gas and oil prices these days.
__________________ God did not create aircraft pilots to be on the ground. |
| |
| | #17 |
| Moderatorette |
My sincere sympathies to my affected AA brothers. ![]() I'm so sorry guys.
__________________ PPL SEL 100-ish TT Fmr AA F/A (12 months) Fmr Simmons/AE F/A (6 years) Fmr AE ground school instructor (1 year) Fmr AE IOE instructor (3 years) Vice President - Air Hostess Training: JC's own |
| |
| | #18 | |
| Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2005 Location: Dubai, UAE
Posts: 480
| Quote:
The newer MD-80s came off the line in 1998/99 and were for TWA. Those are still at American as far as I know. The oldest ones were 1980 vintage and are probably gone already. So they probably range between 10 and 20+ years of age wth an average age close to 18 or more. That's getting pretty old with intendant high maintenance costs. They really need to re-equip the fleet sooner rather than later. The MD-80 burns 1000 lbs. an hour more than a 737. At $4.00/gallon that is a monthly difference of close to $180,000 in direct operating cost based on 300 hours of flying time. So it would be cheaper to lease a 737NG for $250,000 a month than an MD-80 for $80,000/month. Of course I have no idea what the real lease numbers are, but you can see it would need to be pretty significant to make an argument for keeping the -80s. Typhoonpilot | |
| |
| | #19 |
| Old Skool Join Date: Mar 2004 Location: _
Posts: 7,396
|
AA's original plan was to put off buying new aircraft until the replacement to the 737 was developed. Kinda like driving an old car into the ground (MD80) so you can wait for the newer model year to come out. Although I bet $4/gal gas has impacted their plan as of late. If I remember correctly, NWA owns pretty much all their DC-9's, does AA own their MD80's? That would allow them to reduce capacity pretty easily. The problem is, without domestic feed, you've got significantly less international customers.
__________________ "It takes just as much time to be nice to someone as it does to be a jerk." |
| |
| | #20 |
| Old Skool |
Sympathies too the affect pilots.....
|
| |
| | #22 |
| Old Skool Join Date: Sep 2003
Posts: 2,034
|
Actually, I think the industry is making much needed corrections. It became a joke when Part 121 pilots were hired with 300 hours and replaced 12,000 hour pilots.
__________________ A self described gym rat. "I got next." |
| |
| | #23 |
| Old Skool |
The real joke was when the 12,000 hour pilots sold out their scope and in effect shot themselves in the foot by creating replacement jet positions.
|
| |
| | #24 |
| Old Skool Join Date: Mar 2004 Location: _
Posts: 7,396
|
Annnnnndddd down it goes.
__________________ "It takes just as much time to be nice to someone as it does to be a jerk." |
| |
| | #25 | |
| Old Skool Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Memphis
Posts: 3,628
| Quote:
Just trying for a light hearted post. Point flame somewhere else.
__________________ I'm fine with pilots being allowed naps in cockpits, as long as we get to wear pajamas. End 16 hour duty days. | |
| |
![]() |
| Bookmarks |
| Thread Tools | |
| Display Modes | |
| |