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Old August 24th, 2003, 17:05   #1
jetman
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Default Less safe?

Is it SAFER [as a passenger] to fly with the majors than the regionals? on my next trip i will be flying one leg with a regional and to the final destination with a major.If regionals are a steping stone to the majors and in general ,crews are less experience than their colegues in the majors ,am i at a greater risk of an accident flying the regionals?
thanks for input jetman
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Old August 24th, 2003, 18:11   #2
FlyChicaga
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Default Re: Less safe?

No, we at the regionals fly just as safe and to the same standards than the majors.
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Old August 24th, 2003, 18:33   #3
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Default Re: Less safe?

I heard there was a survey and that the regionals were somthing like 3 times more dangerous then the majors. They conducted it after the CLT crash. Still a lot safer then driving tho.
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Old August 24th, 2003, 18:37   #4
EatSleepFly
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Default Re: Less safe?

Yeah, I *heard* there is a small colony of pink donkeys on Mars...whats your point?
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Old August 24th, 2003, 18:37   #5
FlyChicaga
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Default Re: Less safe?

[ QUOTE ]
I heard there was a survey and that the regionals were somthing like 3 times more dangerous then the majors. They conducted it after the CLT crash. Still a lot safer then driving tho.

[/ QUOTE ]

They probably surveyed US Airways mainline pilots to get that statistic.
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Old August 24th, 2003, 18:52   #6
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Default Re: Less safe?

Commuters are actually safer. They are much less likely to be a terrorist target!
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Old August 24th, 2003, 18:59   #7
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Default Re: Less safe?

[ QUOTE ]
Yeah, I *heard* there is a small colony of pink donkeys on Mars...whats your point?

[/ QUOTE ]

Was the colony of pink donkeys on CNN.
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Old August 24th, 2003, 19:00   #8
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Default Re: Less safe?

With regard to terrorism I would guess that the regionals are safer.

I feel more comfortable as a passenger in a major airline flight. I imagine some guys up front, one like Doug, or A300 (even Tenney ), guys who have been around the block.

I feel safe aboard a regional but I imagine the guys up front to be less experienced.
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Old August 24th, 2003, 19:25   #9
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Default Re: Less safe?

Nobody is more current and qualified than regional/commuter pilots. They fly more legs, do more landings, fly through more crap, etc ....

True about the experience but I think it balances out.
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Old August 24th, 2003, 22:20   #10
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Default Re: Less safe?

[ QUOTE ]
I heard there was a survey and that the regionals were somthing like 3 times more dangerous then the majors. They conducted it after the CLT crash. Still a lot safer then driving tho.

[/ QUOTE ]

If you take a very small number and triple it, it's still a very small number.
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Old August 24th, 2003, 23:38   #11
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Default Re: Less safe?

Hey Jetman!

I think it all depends.

It depends on the level of CRM of the crew, the level of experience of both pilots, the experience of the dispatchers, etc.

I probably flew more balls-to-the-wall handflown instrument approaches at a 1900 pilot, but I've flown more advanced equipment at the majors that gave me the ability to have a better 'big picture' of the situation.

I've probably flown through more crappy enroute weather in a Beech 1900, but the jets afford me more options to get around it, but a bigger dilemma in determining if it's worth burning all the gas to climb to FL 370, rather than the shortest route through the line.

And I could honestly go on and on, but it all just depends.
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Old August 25th, 2003, 00:09   #12
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Default Re: Less safe?

I read that the probability of being killed on a major airline is about 1 in eight million flights.

If a passenger boarded a flight at random, once a day, everyday, it would be approximately 22,000 years before he or she would be killed.

source: http://www.planecrashinfo.com/rates.htm

Personally, I'm going to stop flying when I reach my 21,999th birthday, so as not to push my odds
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Old August 25th, 2003, 00:18   #13
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Default Re: Less safe?

Found some data on the subject. If the data is accurate, the major are considerably more safe by about 5 to 1 (trips).

Compare Departures: 5X safer
Comparing Hours: 11X safer
Comapring Miles: 25X safer.

Ref: http://www.safe-skies.com/safety_by_...0by%20Category

Many of the replies on this subject seem to say regionals were as safe as majors. That's a great goal, and something we should strive for.
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Old August 25th, 2003, 00:40   #14
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Default Re: Less safe?

Ok, this survery compares major airlines to "commuter airlines." Typically when they say commuters they are talking about 135. However, regionals, being 121 operators now, are typically lumped in with the major airlines stats. Considering the better equipment regionals fly these days I don't doubt they are just as safe as major airlines. The firs CRJ crash only just happened this year.
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Old August 25th, 2003, 04:20   #15
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Default Re: Less safe?

The critical phases of flight with the largest risk of accident are take off and landing as well as approach and departure. In between these phases, the risk factor sinks considerably. Due to the nature of their operations, regional/commuter airline crew have to cope with substantially more approaches and departures per flight hour than their colleagues in mid-long range flights. Additionally, most of the smaller regional airlines don't have the same resources available to them as the major airlines which would allow them to invest much more than the required minimum in safety. These are a couple of reasons for the worse statistics.

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Old August 25th, 2003, 05:15   #16
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Default Re: Less safe?

it may also be an issue of statistics.

if you have 2000 regional/national flights a day and 1000 Mainline flights two incidents on the regionals are equal to one on the majors, but they are "twice as likely"

Also the miles/hours flown would be interesting to look into
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Old August 25th, 2003, 06:30   #17
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Default Re: Less safe?

Hellmuth I question the resources statement.

Commuters are for the most part flying much newer aircraft than majors. The BE1900D models are all less than 15 years old. The RJs less than 10. Compare that to the carriers out there flying B727s and B737-200s, all of which are 30 or more years old.

There is a lot of new technology in the commuters that you may lose when you go to the major. FMS, Glass Cockpit, etc.

These new stretch RJs are quite impressive. Full automation, LE devices, APUs, etc. Awesome!

I agree on the critical phase assessment, although RJ crews are flying fewer legs than B1900 and J31 crews. RJ stage lengths are starting to get pretty long - PHL-STL for example.

If there is a difference in safety it would have to be in crew experience. I know this is unpopular here, but you don't see many major carrier crews with 300 hr FOs (not even United anymore.)

The only RJ accident that I know of (I'd like to hear more about that CRJ crash that happened this year, don't know anything about it) was an ERJ that had a hard landing in RIC. Both crewmembers were decidedly low time, the CA had only 2500 hrs and her FO only had about 800.

No one was hurt but they did bang up an airplane.
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Old August 25th, 2003, 08:34   #18
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Default Re: Less safe?

Here is the link to the CRJ accident...

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Old August 25th, 2003, 08:45   #19
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Default Re: Less safe?

You didn't say it was European. They have different training standards than we do.

What an annoying site that airdisaster is - constant popups and crap like that.
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Old August 25th, 2003, 08:58   #20
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Default Re: Less safe?

I personally have no worries about flying with either a major or a regional carrier. It's driving to the airport that's scary!
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Old August 25th, 2003, 09:05   #21
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Default Re: Less safe?

[ QUOTE ]
You didn't say it was European. They have different training standards than we do.



[/ QUOTE ]

Do you think it's safer to fly a major European airline, or a major American airline?
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Old August 25th, 2003, 09:27   #22
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Default Re: Less safe?

Times have certainly changed since I flew for the "commuters". It's gone from hand flying BE99's, Shorts330's and Metro's with the most sophisticated equipment being a DME, to glass cockpit Regional jets that would make the B75/76 look like a DC8.

Back then, we operated under FAR135 regs instead of 121. We had no access to full fidelity flight simulators. We trained late at night in the airplane and could simulate only a few non-normals.

We flew 90+ hr months. These were all hand flown hours without the aid of an autopilot or flt director. After 5 years, I could thread the needle of any ILS without the LOC/GS needles so much as quivering. I doubt I could do the same today as my role is that of system and automation manager. Sure, we still have to be able to hand fly a single engine ILS in the sim during recurrent every 6 months, but in the real world, we normally fly each approach with the autopilot engaged...even if it were single engine. There were days at the commuter that we flew multiple hand flown ILS,NDB or VOR approaches to mins. These were done in all kinds of conditions as NE US flying could be real interesting especially in the winter.

While the aircraft have changed, the job of the "commuter" (Regional) pilot really hasn't over the years. These folks still fly max duty and flt days and do so safely in all types of conditions. I always equate the commuter or Regional pilot to a doctor of a M.A.S.H unit. They repeatedly deal with the worst conditions on a daily basis and not always with the best equipment. In essence, they become really good, really fast.

In my days at the commuters, those airlines were consider merely stepping stones to the big leagues. Nowadays, pay and equipment have far exceeded anything I thought they would. Many pilots there have more time and experience than I do. They fly 3-4 times what I do a year. Their proficiency far exceeds mine. Many could probably fly circles around me. Do I feel as safe flying a Regional vs the main line? Nowadays it's not even a concern of mine.
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Old August 25th, 2003, 13:14   #23
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Default Re: Less safe?

Don't come down on me but I would say except for terrorism, you are probably safer on a US airline. European airlines have different work rules. For example, I jumpseated on a Brittania from Dublin to Sanford. 9 1/2 hours with only two pilots, and THEN they refueled and head for Cancun.

That much flying is in violation of 14 CFR regs.
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Old August 25th, 2003, 14:24   #24
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Default Re: Less safe?

[ QUOTE ]
Found some data on the subject. If the data is accurate, the major are considerably more safe by about 5 to 1 (trips).

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, but since the odds are so small to begin with, we're talking about splitting not hairs, but molecules of hair.

If the odds for the majors are one in eight million and the regionals are five times great, then we're talking five in eight million.

So instead of being able to board a plane for the next 22,000 years, you can only do it for the next 4,400 years.

I'll take my chances.
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