Quote:
Originally Posted by Velocipede  Steve,
I guess its just my background as a military/civil aircraft accident investigator. You should NEVER speculate on the cause of an aircraft accident without SOME evidential justification.
Because early speculation usually proves false and some guys tend to get married to their theory, ignoring other evidence
Whenever I see someone speculate on the cause of an aircraft accident based on the evidence you had at the time, it only reinforces their lack of credibility.
Nothing personal, mind you, but professional aviators know better than to go down that road. |
I can see your point...for an investigator. Preconceptions are bad for someone actually involved in the investigation.
Me, I'm just a pilot (with no real credibility anyway) so I'm thinking a little idle speculation just might get some brain cells firing, exercising some little used cognitive abilities (if actually existent), and maybe get some other people thinking about the possibilities of what could/did/might go wrong. Who knows, it might even spark a discussion about aviation.
As long as my speculation is not casting aspersions on the actions or skills of the pilots involved, where's the harm? The worst thing that I can see happening is that I'm wrong.
Wouldn't be the first time.
