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Old September 11th, 2006, 15:16   #19
BobDDuck
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Default Re: First year FO -- Need some career direction please

As of today, sure you could be a captain else where much quicker, but that isn't a gurentee of future possibilities.

What would happen (and I've heard nothing to suggest this) if AA started growing like crazy for some reason and recalled all their fuloughed guys plus the 250 or so that are owned flow up. And then what if they gave pref interviews to another 500 Eagle guys. And then they gave eagle 100 more airplanes to replace contract flying currently being done by other regionals? Well, it would take a year or so for all that to shake out but you would be sitting pretty midway up the captain seniority list.

On the flip side you bail and go to Mesa and something happens where they loose the AAA -900 flying (which will happen soon if things shake out the way they look) and then in 2009 loose the HP flying and in the meantime are cut out of the UAX system and get booted from Delta by CHQ bidding on the RFP for what Freedom is currently doing. Again, not saying that would happen, but with contract negotiations coming up and a lot of Mesa guys making noise about taking a stand, their cost advantage could go away. So, all of the sudden that 2 year upgrade at Mesa is gone.

The same thing could happen anywhere really. In either direction. The question is are you willing to roll the dice either way?
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